Joe Manchin, or several recent surveys that found Florida Sen.
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And there are some plausible stories behind this hypothesis, too. Kavanaugh was not a popular pick to begin with , and he has become more unpopular still in some although not all polls. The whole purpose of the various polling averages and forecasts we construct at FiveThirtyEight is to avoid this sort of cherry-picking of polls; instead, we want to evaluate all of the data in a comprehensive way. First, here are the numbers from our generic congressional ballot polling average — and from two versions of our Trump approval rating average, one using all polls our default version and another using polls of registered and likely voters only.
From a 35,foot view, the story in the generic ballot numbers is largely one of stability.
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We can also look at the topline numbers from the various versions of our House and Senate forecasts, which incorporate state-by-state and district-by-district polling as well as national indicators. The Lite version of our forecast , which heavily emphasizes district-by-district polls, tells a somewhat different story.
What that means is that district-level polls have generally been getting worse for Republicans, even if national indicators have stabilized or improved slightly. Republicans have been favored to keep the Senate all along. But their position has improved quite a bit over the last week in all three versions of our model.
Electric and biogas buses roll into Finnish cities Round-the-clock 'bear cam ' goes live in Finland Government announces pension increase Finnish music festival takes steps to weed out sexual harassment Wednesday's papers: Kela rethinks study grant, public trust in gov't, financial literacy and Schjerfbeck 9. Police request public's help in case of missing woman 9. Four and a half year prison sentence in 6th Oulu child sex abuse case 9.
Helsinki-Tallinn tunnel set to ink deal with Chinese construction giant 9. Half of Lutheran parishes in Finland report financial loss 9.
Polls point to Boris Johnson at risk of May’s electoral debacle
Government eyes congestion fees in Finland's cities 8. Robot lawnmower thieves thwarted by GPS 8.
Conscripts' union calls for voluntary military service scheme 8. Oil leads Finnish export surge in May 8.
Yle poll: Finns Party sprints to second place, SDP hangs on in first | Yle Uutiset | efclifdetelra.ga
Finland's cities benefiting from domestic tourism trend 8. Finland's biggest folk fest draws 47, to Ostrobothnian village 8. Number of cars growing more rapidly than population 7. Finland scales back hormone use in menopause treatment 6. Finnish authorities warn of disease risk from imported dogs 6.
In the market for a new car or expensive renovation? Government moves to raise eldercare staffing requirement soon 5. Pizza Online ordering service accused of exploitation 5.
Finnair sets all-time monthly passenger record 5. Citizens' initiative to ban fishing nets in ringed seal habitats proceeds to Parliament 5.
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Warm weather behind 20 drownings in June 4. Accenture dismisses 66 workers in Finland 4. Not only well-to-do choosing organic food 4. NGO warns that harsh Syrian camp conditions "could radicalise" 4. Young volunteers in Helsinki aim for km of trash-free coastline 4. Thai officials hold back on visas for berry pickers 4. Yle poll: Support for Centre sinks to record low as Finns Party backing grows 4. Ministry's cash injection creates new nursing study places 3. Finns fly to sun-drenched south in bid to salvage summer 3.
Rent-a-scooters put in storage in Turku but stay on Tampere streets during music festivals 3. Nato command ship visits Helsinki 3. Ministry: Officials need mothers' permission to retrieve kids in Syrian Al-Hol camp 3. Finland misses out on top EU posts as women make breakthroughs 3.
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